“Promising”: You keep using that word…
The word “promising,” with regards to research, started backfiring for me about a decade ago. I ❤️ this simple point from Hilda Bastian:
“A promising treatment is often in fact merely the larval stage of a disappointing one. At least a third of influential trials suggesting benefit may either ultimately be contradicted or turn out to have exaggerated effectiveness.”
Larval stage, snort. Very nicely put! That’s from the academic paper; see also Hilda’s more accessible post on the topic.